By Butch Trail

Preparing for Uncertainty

A Framework to minimize the impact of disaster and societal change

The last 75 years of relative peace is a cultural abnormality. The focus of this book begins with the events that have the highest likelihood of occurring in your daily life under current circumstances: house fire, financial distress, and crime. Then it moves on to what many today are considering our inevitable future: civil unrest, and gray zone warfare. The secondary effects of these are addressed in detail, including shelter, food, water, energy, security, communication, medical and sanitation with the understanding that most people live in an urban environment with no realistic plans of heading to the mountains when a crisis comes.

This book will give you a practical step-by-step plan to increase your preparedness for disruptions, give you the tools to gather and analyze intelligence, and recognize when others are attempting to manipulate you.

Butch Trail

Butch Trail is a retired Marine and has served in a dozen operations including combat and humanitarian missions. He has a Masters Degree in Business and Security Management, a Bachelor of Science in Social Psychology and has more than 30 years experience in security, disaster, and business continuity planning. He has been a survivor of a devastating major hurricane, several minor disasters, and volunteered at non-governmental organizations during significant disasters. He has been the planner, the responder, and the survivor.
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True predators are always hunting.

They don’t say, “I have a few hours on Thursday afternoon; maybe I will get lucky.”

They are always looking.

ARTICLES

Follow Along

Gray Zone Warfare

Gray Zone Warfare

We are living in a time when information is manipulated in ways most people are unprepared or uninterested in defending against. Economic competition and conflict are blurred concepts. Asymmetrical warfare is actively targeting our military with low-cost,...

Tier Four Preparedness: Navigation

Tier Four Preparedness: Navigation

Last summer, we took a trip to the Oregon Coast. We thought it would be fun to do it old school, using a road Atlas and no GPS. I was embarrassed at how out of practice I was with what should have been the simplest of navigation. I missed signs and turns because, over...

Tier Four Preparedness: Signature Management

Tier Four Preparedness: Signature Management

Signature Management involves doing everything you can to ensure others can’t find or recognize you. This includes camouflage, concealment, tactical movement, sound discipline, light discipline, thermal signature, and electronic emissions.  So, if you move from...